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Trading Divergences 背离交易: Page 6 of 8

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9 Rules for Trading Divergences

Before you head out there and start looking for potential divergences, here are nine cool rules for trading divergences.

Learn ‘em, memorize ‘em (or keep coming back here), apply ‘em to help you make better trading decisions. Ignore them and go broke.

1. Make sure your glasses are clean

In order for divergence to exist, price must have either formed one of the following:

  • Higher high than the previous high
  • Lower low than the previous low
  • Double top
  • Double bottom

Don’t even bother looking at an indicator unless ONE of these four price scenarios have occurred. If not, you ain’t trading a divergence, buddy. You’re just imagining things. Immediately go see your optometrist and get some new glasses.

Divergence Trading Rule #1: YesThere must be extreme highs and lows

Divergence Trading Rule #1: NoDivergences do not work in ranging markets

2. Draw lines on successive tops and bottoms

Okay now that you got some action (recent price action that is), look at it. Remember, you’ll only see one of four things: a higher high, a flat high, a lower low, or a flat low.

Now draw a line backward from that high or low to the previous high or low. It HAS to be on successive major tops/bottom. If you see any little bumps or dips between the two major highs/lows, do what you do when your significant other shouts at you – ignore it.

3. Do Tha Right Thang – Connect TOPS and BOTTOMS only

Once you see two swing highs are established, you connect the TOPS. If two lows are made, you connect the BOTTOMS.

Don’t make the mistake of trying to draw a line at the bottom when you see two higher highs. It sounds dumb but really, peeps regularly get confused.

Divergence Trading Rule #3: YesConnect successive tops or bottoms only

Divergence Trading Rule #3: NoDivergences do not work in ranging markets

4. Eyes on the Price

So you’ve connected either two tops or two bottoms with a trend line. Now look at your preferred indicator and compare it to price action. Whichever indicator you use, remember you are comparing its TOPS or BOTTOMS. Some indicators such as MACD or Stochastic have multiple lines all up on each other like teenagers with raging hormones. Don’t worry about what these kids are doing.

Divergence Trading Rule #4: YesFocus on tops and bottoms

5. Be Fly like Pip Diddy

If you draw a line connecting two highs on price, you MUST draw a line connecting the two highs on the indicator as well. Ditto for lows also. If you draw a line connecting two lows on price, you MUST draw a line connecting two lows on the indicator. They have to match!

Divergence Trading Rule #5: Yes If you draw connecting highs on price, you must do the same on the indicator.

Price and oscillator highs or low much match!

6. Keep in Line

The highs or lows you identify on the indicator MUST be the ones that line up VERTICALLY with the price highs or lows. It’s just like picking out what to wear to the club – you gotta be fly and matchin’ yo!

Divergence Trading Rule #6: YesPrice and oscillator highs must match!

7. Ridin’ the slopes

Divergence only exists if the SLOPE of the line connecting the indicator tops/bottoms DIFFERS from the SLOPE of the line connection price tops/bottoms. The slope must either be: Ascending (rising) Descending (falling) Flat (flat)

Divergence Trading Rule #7: YesDivergence slopes must differ.

8. If the ship has sailed, catch the next one

If you spot divergence but the price has already reversed and moved in one direction for some time, the divergence should be considered played out. You missed the boat this time. All you can do now is wait for another swing high/low to form and start your divergence search over.

Divergence Trading Rule #8: YesDo not chase a move when trading divergences.

9. Take a step back

Divergence signals tend to be more accurate on the longer time frames. You get less false signals. This means fewer trades but if you structure your trade well, then your profit potential can be huge. Divergences on shorter time frames will occur more frequently but are less reliable.

We advise only look for divergences on 1-hour charts or longer. Other traders use 15-minute charts or even faster. On those time frames, there’s just too much noise for our taste so we just stay away.

So there you have it kiddos – 9 rules you MUST follow if you want to seriously consider trading using divergences. Trust us, you don’t wanna be ignoring these rules. Your account will take more hits than BabyPips.com’s Facebook fan page.

Follow these rules, and you will dramatically increase the chances of a divergence setup leading to a profitable trade.

Here’s an example of how a bearish divergence failed. Can you figure out which of these 9 rules Cyclopip broke?

Now go scan the charts and see if you can spot some divergences that happened in the past as a great way to begin getting your divergence skills up to par!

背离交易的9条规则

       在你寻找潜在的背离形态之前,你需要牢牢记住以下9条有关背离交易的规则。

       我们需要学习它们、记住它们、并利用它们以帮助你更好的做出交易决定。而忽视它们的存在,可能导致个人账户的爆仓。

1. 确保你的眼镜是干净的

       为了确定背离的形成,价格需要形成以下几种形态中的一种

           ● 高点高于之前高点

           ● 低点低于之前低点

           ● 双顶

           ● 双底

       在以上四种情形出现之前,不要急于观察相关的技术指标。如果价格尚未形成上述四种形态中的任何一种,你最好不要进行背离交易。如果你坚持要这么做,你只是在凭空想象而已。建议你去拜访一下你的验光师,让他跟你重新配副眼镜吧。

2. 画线连接连续的顶部或底部

       密切观察汇价最近的走势。记住,你将只会看到四种情形:一个更高的高点、一个和之前高点相同的高点、一个更低的低点,或一个和之前低点相同的低点。

       现在,我们要做的就是,自新高或新低画一条直线,连接前高或前低。价格所形成的形态必须是连续的主要顶部或底部。如果你看到的只是两个主要高点之前很小的波峰,或两个低点之前很小的低谷,你要做的是坚持自己的主见,当有人吵你大喊时,最好是忽视它们的意见。

3. 做正确的事情——只连接连续的顶部底部

       一旦你看到价格形成两个波段高点,你用直线连接上述顶部;如果你看到价格形成两个波段低点,请用直线连接上述底部

       当你看到价格形成更高的高点时,不要尝试在底部画连接低点的直线。

4. 关注价格走势

       你已经用直线连接了两个连续的顶部或底部,现在,你可以观察你惯常用的指标并将它们和价格走势情况进行对比。无论你用什么指标,请记住,你所比较的是它的顶部底部。一些指标,比如MACD指标或随机指标,可以画出多条连接高点或多条连接低点的直线,不用担心,你要做的只是关注和连接价格顶部或底部直线相对应的指标连线。

5. 同时画出连接价格和指标的直线

       如果你画出一条连接两个高点的直线,你必须同时画出连接指标两个高点的直线。 这一做法也同样适用于低点时的情况。如果你画出一条连接两个低点的直线,你也必须同时画出连接指标两个低点的直线。

6. 价格和指标高低点保持一致

       指标的高点或低点必须和价格的高点或低点排列在同一条垂直线上。

7. 观察倾斜线走势

       背离只会出现在连接指标顶部/底部的斜线和连接价格顶部/底部的斜线走势不一致的情况下。倾斜线必须是下列三种情况中的一种:上升线、下降线或水平线。

8. 一旦错过,等待下一次机会

       如果你描绘出了背离形态,但是价格走势此时却已经出现转向,并朝着逆转后的方向运行了一旦时间,那么,这次你已经错过了背离交易的时机。你所能够做的全部只是等待另一次区间高点/低点的形成,并再次开始你寻找背离的旅行。

9. 选择长时间范围进行背离交易

       时间范围越长,图形所发出的背离信号越准确。这意味着你做的交易手数会更少,但是,如果你很好的构建起你的交易系统,你的获利将是十分巨大的。短时间范围内背离出现得更为频繁,但是可信度也更低。

       我们只建议投资者在1小时图或更长时间范围图形上进行背离交易。其他交易者使用15分钟图甚至更短时间范围图形进行背离交易。在更短时间范围进行背离交易,我们会遇到过多的噪音,因此,我们最好远离在过短时间范围内进行背离交易。

       如果你在认真考虑利用背离形态进行交易,上述9条规则你必须脑记于胸。请相信我们,不要忽视了这9条规则的存在。

       如果你遵循这些规则,你建立起完备的背离交易系统获取可观收益的几率将会大增。