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Trading Divergences 背离交易: Page 4 of 8

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How To Trade Divergences

Now it’s time to put those Jedi divergence mind tricks to work and force the markets to give you some pips!

Here we’ll show you some examples of when there was divergence between price and oscillator movements.

First up, let’s take a look at regular divergence. Below is a daily chart of USD/CHF.

Regular Bullish Divergence on Daily chart of USD/CHF

We can see from the falling trend line that USD/CHF has been in a downtrend. However, there are signs that the downtrend will be coming to an end.

While price has registered lower lows, the stochastic (our indicator of choice) is showing a higher low.

Something smells fishy here. Is the reversal coming to an end? Is it time to buy this sucker?

Successful Bullish Divergence Trade

If you had answered yes to that last question, then you would have found yourself in the middle of the Caribbean, soaking up margaritas, as you would have been knee deep in your pip winnings!

It turns out that the divergence between the stochastic and price action was a good signal to buy. Price broke through the falling trend line and formed a new uptrend. If you had bought near the bottom, you could have made more than a thousand pips, as the pair continued to shoot even higher in the following months.

Now can you see why it rocks to get in on the trend early?!

Before we move on, did you notice the tweezer bottoms that formed on the second low?

Keep an eye out for other clues that a reversal is in place. This will give you more confirmation that a trend is coming to an end, giving you even more reason to believe in the power of divergences!

Next, let’s take a look at an example of some hidden divergence. Once again, let’s hop on to the daily chart of USD/CHF.

Hidden Bearish Divergence on Daily chart of USD/CHF

Here we see that the pair has been in a downtrend. Notice how price has formed a lower high but the stochastic is printing higher highs.

According to our notes, this is hidden bearish divergence! Hmmm, what should we do? Time to get back in the trend?

Well, if you ain’t sure, you can sit back and watch on the sidelines first.

Hidden Bearish Divergence on Daily chart of USD/CHF

If you decided to sit that one out, you might be as bald as Professor Xavier because you pulled out all your hair.

Why?

Well the trend continued!

Price bounced from the trend line and eventually dropped almost 2,000 pips!

Imagine if you had spotted the divergence and seen that as a potential signal for a continuation of the trend?

Not only would you be sipping those margaritas in the Caribbean, you’d have your own pimpin’ yacht to boot!

如何使用背离来交易

       现在,是时候把这些绝地武士的心灵技巧-背离,运用到实际交易中去,并且迫使原力市场给你一些点数吧!

       在这里,我们会为你展示一些,价格和震荡指标之间,出现背离的例子。

       首先,让我们看一下正常背离。以下是美元/瑞郎的日图。

   

       我们通过下降的趋势线,可以看出美元/瑞郎,已经处于下跌的趋势中。然而,已经有讯号表明,下跌的趋势已经将接近尾声了。

       就在价格已经出现渐低的低点时,随机震荡指标(我们选用的指标)却显示着一个渐高的低点。

       是否闻到一些鱼腥味?这儿有大鱼可以抓没?趋势是否接近尾端,即将反转了?现在是进场做多的好时机没?

   

       如果你对上题,回答“是”的话。那么你就会发现,自己已经在阳光明媚,海面水晶般清澈的Caribbean海中了,沉浸在咸咸甜甜的margaritas鸡尾酒中,就如同你已经深深的,掉进了你赢得的点堆里!

       这表明,随机指标和价格走势之间的背离,是一个很好的下单信号。价格突破了下跌的趋势线,并形成了一个新的上升趋势。如果你已经在底部附近买进的话,那么你可能会赚得千多个点,因为该货币对在接下来的几个月里,继续升得更高。

       现在你明白了,为什么背离会标志着,较早进入趋势的原因了吧?

       在我们继续之前,你有没有注意到第二个低点上,蜡烛图同时形了镊子平底的反转形态?

       在可能反转的地方,密切观察其他的蛛丝马迹。这会给你更多的确认,证实该趋势即将接近结束,让你有更多的理由去相信背离的力量!

       接下来,让我们来看看一些隐藏背离的例子。再一次,让我们又跳上美元/瑞郎的日线图。

     

       这里,我们可以看到该货币对,正处于下跌趋势中。注意价格是如何形成一个较低的高点,可是随机指标却描出了较高的高点。

       根据我们之前的说明,这是一个隐藏的熊市背离!嗯嗯嗯,我们应该怎么做?趋势会继续吗?

       好吧,既然你不确定,那么你可以不采取行动,并在旁继续观察先。

     

       如果你真的决定一直静静的坐在一旁,那么你可能已经变成X-Men里的,Xavier教授一样的秃头,因为所有的头发已经被你给扯光了。

       为什么?

       因为趋势仍在继续!

       价格从趋势线反弹后,最终跌了差不多2,000点!

       试想一下,如果你识别出该背离,而且已经将其看成是趋势持续的潜在信号?

       那么你不仅会在Caribbean海中,啜饮着margaritas,而且你还有了一艘像pimpin'MV里的豪华游艇!