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Trading Breakouts and Fakeouts 突破交易法: Page 3 of 9

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Types of Breakouts

When trading breakouts in forex, it is important to realize that there are two main types:

  1. Continuation breakouts
  2. Reversal breakouts

Knowing what type of breakout you are seeing will help you make sense of what is actually happening in the big picture of the market.

Breakouts are significant because they indicate a change in the supply and demand of the currency pair you are trading. This change in sentiment can cause extensive moves that provide excellent opportunities for you to grab some pips.

Continuation Breakouts

Sometimes when there is an extensive move in one direction the market will often take a breather. This occurs when buyers and sellers pause to see what they should do next. As a result, you will see a period of range-bound movement called consolidation.

Consolidation Before Breakout

If traders decide that the initial trend was the right decision, and continue to push the price in the same direction, the result is a continuation breakout. Just think of it as a “continuation” of the initial trend…. You’re so smart!

Continuation Breakout

Reversal Breakouts

Reversal breakouts start off the same way as continuation breakouts in the fact that after a long trend, there tends to be a pause or consolidation.

Downtrend Then Consolidation Before Breakout

The only difference is that after this consolidation, forex traders decide that the trend is exhausted and push the price in the opposite or “reverse” direction. As a result, you have what is called a “reversal breakout”. You catch on quick!

Reversal Breakout

False Breakouts

Now we know by now you are super excited to start trading breakouts (please tell us you haven’t already started trading!) but you also have to be careful. Just like Lionel Messi can fake out defenders, the market can fake you out as well produce false breakouts.

False breakouts occur when the price breaks past a certain level (support, resistance, triangle, trend line, etc.) but doesn’t continue to accelerate in that direction. Instead, what you might’ve seen was a short spike followed by the price moving back into its trading range.

False Breakout

A good way to enter on a breakout is to wait until the price retraces back to the original breakout level and then wait to see if it bounces back to create a new high or low (depending on which direction you are trading).

How to Trade a Breakout Safely

Another way to combat fake outs is by not taking the first breakout you see. By waiting to see if the price will continue to move in your intended direction, you give yourself a better chance of taking a profitable trade. The downside to this is that you may miss out on some trades in which the price moves quickly without any hesitation.

Read about Pipcrawler catching a EUR/USD breakout and Happy Pip getting duped by a USD/CAD fakeout.

突破的类别

       当我们进行突破行情交易之前,我们有必要知道,突破行情有两种主要类型:

            1. 持续突破

            2. 反转突破

       对突破类别的清晰判断能够帮助你把握总体市场的真实发展状况。

       突破需要引起足够重视,因为它意味着你正在交易货币对的供需正在发生改变。这种改变能够延伸货币对之前走势,并提供给你进一步获利的上好机会。

持续突破

       有些时候,当市场经历一段大的单边行情后,可能陷入横盘整理态势。此时,买方和卖方稍作喘息,并来判断他们下一步应该做什么。结果就是,你将看待汇价经历一段时间的横盘整理期。

       如果交易者相信,最初的趋势才是市场的正确方向,并且可能延续之前的方向运行,那么,结果就是可能出现持续突破。

反转突破

       反转突破也出现在汇价经历一轮大的单边行情后,随后价格同样呈现出横盘整理格局。

       唯一的不同在于,在经历一段时间的横盘整理后,交易者认为此前的单边行情趋势已经趋于终结,并推动价格朝反方向波动。结果就是,汇价呈现出反转突破格局。

假突破

       现在,你可能非常想进行突破交易,但是你必须保持警惕。就像科比会做假动作欺骗防守队员一样,市场也可能欺骗你,向你发出虚假的突破信息。

       当价格突破某一水平位,比如支撑位、阻力位、三角形态、趋势线等,但并未加速沿着之前突破方向波动。与此相反的是,价格随后快速反向波动,并再次进入之前交易区间。

       突破交易最佳的入场时机应该是,等到价格最初突破并回撤后,判断价格的回撤是否创出新高或新低,这取决于你所交易的具体方向而定。

       另一种避免假突破的方法是,在价格第一次突破时,不要入场。而是观察看,价格是否将持续沿着你预计的方向波动,这样,你的交易胜算要大得多。该方法的不足之处在于,如果价格在突破后毫不犹豫的加速运行,你可能错过最佳的获利机会。