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Forex Malaysia 马来西亚外汇

Trading Breakouts and Fakeouts 突破交易法

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How to Trade Breakouts

What are breakouts and how can I take advantage of them?

Breakouts!

Unlike the breakouts you might have had as a teenager, a breakout in the trading world is a little different!

A breakout occurs when the price “breaks out” (get it?) of some kind of consolidation or trading range.

A breakout can also occur when a specific price level is breached such as support and resistance levels, pivot points, Fibonacci levels, etc.

With breakout trades, the goal is to enter the market right when the price makes a breakout and then continue to ride the trade until volatility dies down.

Volatility, Not Volume

Breakouts and Volatility

You’ll notice that unlike trading stocks or futures, there is no way for you to see the volume of trades made in the forex market.

With stock or future trades, volume is essential for making good breakout trades so not having this data available in the forex leaves us at a disadvantage.

Because of this disadvantage, we have to rely not only on good risk management, but also on certain criteria in order to position ourselves for a good potential breakout.

If there is large price movement within a short amount of time then volatility would be considered high.

On the other hand, if there is relatively little movement in a short period of time then volatility would be considered low.

While it’s tempting to get in the market when it is moving faster than a speeding bullet, you will often find yourself more stressed and anxious; making bad decisions as your money goes in and then goes right back out.

This high volatility is what attracts a lot of forex traders, but it’s this same volatility that kills a lot of them as well.

The goal here is to use volatility to your advantage.

Rather than following the herd and trying to jump in when the market is super volatile, it would be better to look for currency pairs with volatility that is very low.

This way, you can position yourself and be ready for when a breakout occurs and volatility skyrockets!

突破交易

什么是突破,我该如何利用突破行情进行交易?
  
       和你在青春期挤青春痘所经历的“突破”不同,在交易世界中我们所说的突破是另外一回事。

       当价格摆脱某一横盘整理态势,或脱离区间整理状态,突破行情则以后可能出现。

       突破行情也可能见于价格穿越某一特定价位,比如支撑和阻力位、枢纽点、斐波那契水平位等。

       进行突破行情交易,我们的目标在于价格发生突破行情的那一刻便进入市场,并跟随市场运动的方向而动,直到市场波动性消失殆尽。

波动性,而非交易量

       你会注意到,和进行股票交易和期货交易不同,你无法获悉外汇市场的交易量。

       对于股票或期货交易来说,交易量对于判断市场的突破行情非常有用,因此,进行外汇交易的不足之处也在于,我们难以利用交易量数据。

       基于外汇交易的这一不足之处,我们所依赖的不仅仅是好的风险管理方法,同时也需要以来一些准则,以利于我们在潜在突破行情出现时进行头寸调整。

       如果在短期内出现大的价格波动,那么市场波动性将非常高。

       从另一方面来说,如果短期内价格波动相对较小,那么市场波动性也较低。

       尽管当价格波动的速度超过子弹时进入市场极具诱惑,但是你也将发现,你会变得更加的焦虑,且压力也更大,因为,如果你在此时作出错误的决策,你将损失大把的资金。

       较高的市场波动性是吸引大多数交易者的地方,但是也是这种高波动性,也让众多的交易者血本无归。

       我们的目的是利用市场的波动性获得稳定的盈利。

       与其跟随市场主流,并在市场出现巨大波动性时入场,不如多关注一下那些波动性较低的货币对。

       在这一情况下,你可以提前安排自己的头寸,当突破行情出现,市场出现大幅波动时,你可以提前做好准备。

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