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Risk Management 风险管理: Page 4 of 6

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Never Risk More Than 2% Per Trade

Never Risk More Than 2% Per Forex Trade

How much should you risk per trade?

Great question. Try to limit your risk to 2% per trade.

But that might even be a little high. Especially if you’re newbie forex trader.

Here is an important illustration that will show you the difference between risking a small percentage of your capital per trade compared to risking a higher percentage.

Trader Risks 2% vs. 10% Per Trade

Trade # Total Account 2% risk on each trade Trade # Total Account 10% risk on each trade
1 $20,000 $400 1 $20,000 $2,000
2 $19,600 $392 2 $18,000 $1,800
3 $19,208 $384 3 $16,200 $1,620
4 $18,824 $376 4 $14,580 $1,458
5 $18,447 $369 5 $13,122 $1,312
6 $18,078 $362 6 $11,810 $1,181
7 $17,717 $354 7 $10,629 $1,063
8 $17,363 $347 8 $9,566 $957
9 $17,015 $340 9 $8,609 $861
10 $16,675 $333 10 $7,748 $775
11 $16,341 $327 11 $6,974 $697
12 $16,015 $320 12 $6,276 $628
13 $15,694 $314 13 $5,649 $565
14 $15,380 $308 14 $5,084 $508
15 $15,073 $301 15 $4,575 $458
16 $14,771 $295 16 $4,118 $412
17 $14,476 $290 17 $3,706 $371
18 $14,186 $284 18 $3,335 $334
19 $13,903 $278 19 $3,002 $300

You can see that there is a big difference between risking 2% of your account compared to risking 10% of your account on a single trade!

If you happened to go through a losing streak and lost only 19 trades in a row, you would’ve went from starting with $20,000 to having only $3,002 left if you risked 10% on each trade.

You would’ve lost over 85% of your account!

If you risked only 2% you would’ve still had $13,903 which is only a 30% loss of your total account.

Of course, the last thing we want to do is to lose 19 trades in a row, but even if you only lost 5 trades in a row, look at the difference between risking 2% and 10%. If you risked 2% you would still have $18,447. If you risked 10% you would only have $13,122. That’s less than what you would’ve had even if you lost all 19 trades and risked only 2% of your account!

The point of this illustration is that you want to setup your risk management rules so that when you do have a drawdown period, you will still have enough capital to stay in the game.

Can you imagine if you lost 85% of your account?!!

You would have to make 566% on what you are left with in order to get back to break even!

Trust us, you do NOT want to be in that position. You’d start looking a lot like Cyclopip. Do you wanna look like Cyclopip? Didn’t think so!

Here is a chart that will illustrate what percentage you would have to make to breakeven if you were to lose a certain percentage of your account.

Loss of Capital % Required to get back to breakeven
10% 11%
20% 25%
30% 43%
40% 67%
50% 100%
60% 150%
70% 233%
80% 400%
90% 900%

You can see that the more you lose, the harder it is to make it back to your original account size. This is all the more reason that you should do everything you can to PROTECT your account.

By now, we hope you have gotten it drilled in your head that you should only risk a small percentage of your account per trade so that you can survive your losing streaks and also to avoid a large drawdown in your account.

Remember, you want to be the casino… NOT the gambler!

不要亏得连裤子都要当掉





       这里有个简短的图解,它将向您展示,当你使用资金的比例,比较小或比较大来冒险时,两者之间的差异。

当每笔交易所冒的风险为:2%的风险 VS. 10%的风险

交易
序号 #
账户净值
每笔交易
承担2%的风险
交易
序号#
账户净值
每笔交易
承担10%的风险
1
$20,000
$400
1
$20,000
$2,000
2
$19,600
$392
2
$18,000
$1,800
3
$19,208
$384
3
$16,200
$1,620
4
$18,824
$376
4
$14,580
$1,458
5
$18,447
$369
5
$13,122
$1,312
6
$18,078
$362
6
$11,810
$1,181
7
$17,717
$354
7
$10,629
$1,063
8
$17,363
$347
8
$9,566
$957
9
$17,015
$340
9
$8,609
$861
10
$16,675
$333
10
$7,748
$775
11
$16,341
$327
11
$6,974
$697
12
$16,015
$320
12
$6,276
$628
13
$15,694
$314
13
$5,649
$565
14
$15,380
$308
14
$5,084
$508
15
$15,073
$301
15
$4,575
$458
16
$14,771
$295
16
$4,118
$412
17
$14,476
$290
17
$3,706
$371
18
$14,186
$284
18
$3,335
$334
19
$13,903
$278
19
$3,002
$300


       你可以看到,每笔交易如果使用,2%来冒险和使用10%来冒险,两者会对你的账户产生明显的分别。一开始时的 $20,000,在你很不幸的经历了,连续19次的交易亏损后,如果你一开始是采用10%来冒险,那你将仅剩$3,002,亏掉了你账户中超过85%的资金!而如果你一开始是采用2%来冒险的话,那你的账户在经历了上述的不幸情况后,还留下$13,903,这只是亏掉了你账户资金的30%左右!

       当然,我们尽量避免的情况,是出现连续19次的亏损。但如果你只是连续5次的亏损,那我们再来看一看,冒2%的风险和冒10%的风险,会有什么的的区别。如果你只是冒着2%的风险,你仍然有$18,447。而如果你是冒着10%的风险,你将会剩下$13,122。这个余额数目,比你使用2%的资金,再连续亏损19次后的余额还少!

       上面的图解要告诉你的是,要设置好你的资金管理规则,这样当你经历一段资金回撤的时期后,你仍然有足够的资本可以在游戏中继续玩。

       你能想像,当你失去了账户的85%资金后,是什么情况吗?

       你将必须赚取到566%,才能回复到亏损85%之前的初始账户资金。而刚亏损了85%的你,有信心可以赚回566%吗?

       相信我们,你绝对不希望处于这种情况的。

       这有一张图表,描述当你一旦亏损了,特点的百分比之后,要回复到你亏损前的原始资金,所需要赚取的百分比。

资本亏损的比例
回到原始资金
所需要赚回的 %
10%
11%
20%
25%
30%
43%
40%
67%
50%
100%
60%
150%
70%
233%
80%
400%
90%
900%


       你可以从上面的图表中发现,当你亏损得越多,在你要赚回原始资本的时候,你面临的难度就越大。这就是为什么你应该尽你所能,作最大的努力来保护你账户资金的原因。

       从现在开始,我们希望你把上面的道理,牢牢的烙印在你的脑袋里。就是每一笔冒险的交易,永远只占你账户资金的很小百分比。这样即使你不幸的出现连续亏损,你也能活下来;同时避免了太大的回撤,在您的帐户中出现。记住,你是想成为一位精明的赌场老板...而不是无脑主义的赌徒!