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Market Environment 市场环境

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Know Your Trading Environment

When two people go to war, the foolish man always rushes blindly into battle without a plan, much like a starving man at his favorite buffet spot.

The wise man, on the other hand, will always get a situation report first to know the surrounding conditions that could affect how the battle plays out.

Know Your Forex Trading Environment

Like in warfare, we must also get a situation report on trading environment. This means we need to know what kind of market environment we are actually in. Some forex traders cry saying that their system sucks.

Sometimes the system does in fact…suck. Other times, the system is potentially profitable, but it is being utilized in the wrong trading environment.

Seasoned forex traders try to figure out the appropriate strategy for the current market environment they are trading in.

Is it time to bust out those Fibs and look for retracements? Or are ranges holding?

Just as the coach comes up with different plays for particular situations or opponents, you should also be able to decide which strategy to use depending on trading environment.

By knowing what market environment we are trading in, we can choose a trend-based strategy in a trending market or a range-bound strategy in a ranging market.

Are you worried about not getting to use your beastly range-bound strategy? How about your Bring-Home-Da-Bacon trend-based system?

Have no fear!

The forex market provides many trending and ranging opportunities across different time frames wherein these strategies can be implemented.

By knowing which strategies are appropriate, you will find it easier to figure out which indicators to pull out from your forex toolbox.

For instance, Fibs and trend lines are useful in trending markets while pivot points, support and resistance levels are helpful when the market is ranging.

Before spotting those opportunities, you have to be able to determine the trading environment. The state of the market can be classified into three scenarios:

  • Trending up
  • Trending down
  • Ranging


掌握趋势

       战场中总是有两种人,一种是无知的人,永远没有计划就盲目地投入战斗中,就像是一个饿鬼见到他最喜爱的自助餐一样。

       另一种精明的人,总是相反的,永远会率先取得一份形势报告,仔细了解各种会影响战况的周边条件。

   

       就像在战争中一样,当我们交易时,也必须先得到市场上的趋势报告。 这意味着我们需要先知道,现在我们正处于什么样的市场环境下。

       不少交易者们时常哭诉着说他们的系统太烂了。有的时候,那系统确实是很糟糕,但另一些时候,那系统却具有潜在的盈利机会,只是它被使用在错误的环境中了。

       经验丰富的交易者们,都试图在当前的市场环境中,寻求合适的策略。

       是时候止损点数出局,另外寻找下单机会?或者只是止损范围内的回测?

       正如教练会根据不同的对手和特定的情况,而改变战术。你也应该根据市场的环境,而决定使用什么样的策略。

       通过了解我们交易时,正处的市场环境。我们可以在一个趋势市场中,使用趋势跟踪的策略;或在震荡市场中,使用区间反弹的策略。

       你是否担心还没准备好使用你那野兽般的区间震荡策略?那么你养家糊口的趋势策略又准备得如何了?

       你并不需要觉得害怕!

       外汇市场提供了许多趋势和震荡的交易机会,穿插在不同的时间框架之中,
提供了落实这些策略的机会。

       通过了解哪些策略是适合哪种趋势后,你会发现以后在选用指标时,自己更容易的从工具箱中挑出适合的指标。

       例如,FIBS和趋势线在趋势市场是非常有用的,而枢轴点、支撑和阻力位,则有利于市场在横盘震荡时。

       在使用这些指标工具进行交易之前,你必须能够先确定市场的环境。市场的状态,可以被分成三种情况:

           ● 上升趋势

           ● 下跌趋势

           ● 横盘震荡

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