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Fibonacci 斐波纳契: Page 6 of 9

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How to Use Fibonacci Retracement with Japanese Candlesticks

If you’ve been paying attention in class, you’d know by now that you can combine the Fibonacci retracement tool with support and resistance levels and trend lines to create a simple but super awesome trading strategy.

But we ain’t done yet! In this lesson, we’re going to teach you how to combine the Fibonacci retracement tool with your knowledge of Japanese candlestick patterns that you learned in Grade 2.

In combining the Fibonacci retracement tool with candlestick patterns, we are actually looking for exhaustive candlesticks. If you can tell when buying or selling pressure is exhausted, it can give you a clue of when price may continue trending.

We here at BabyPips.com like to call them “Fibonacci Candlesticks,” or “Fib Sticks” for short. Pretty catchy, eh? Let’s take a look at an example to make this clearer.

Below is a 1-hour chart of EUR/USD.

1-hour chart of EUR/USD with Fibonacci retracement levels

The pair seems to have been in a downtrend the past week, but the move seems to have paused for a bit. Will there be a chance to get in on this downtrend? You know what this means. It’s time to take the Fibonacci retracement tool and get to work!

As you can see from the chart, we’ve set our Swing High at 1.3364 on March 3, with the Swing Low at 1.2523 on March 6.

Since it’s a Friday, you decided to just chill out, take an early day off, and decide when you wanna enter once you see the charts after the weekend.

Bullish green candle. Is EUR/USD headed for new highs?

Whoa! By the time you popped open your charts, you see that EUR/USD has shot up quite a bit from its Friday closing price.

While the 50.0% Fib level held for a bit, buyers eventually took the pair higher. You decide to wait and see whether the 61.8% Fib level holds. After all, the last candle was pretty bullish! Who knows, price just might keep shooting up!

Doji forms on the 61.8% Fib. Potential reversal

Well, will you look at that? A long legged doji has formed right smack on the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. If you paid attention in Grade 2, you’d know that this is an “exhaustive candle.” Has buying pressure died down? Is resistance at the Fibonacci retracement level holding? It’s possible. Other traders were probably eyeing that Fib level as well.

Is it time to short? You can never know for sure (which is why risk management is so important), but the probability of a reversal looks pretty darn good!

Buyers ran out of steam. Resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement held

If you had shorted right after that doji had formed, you could have made some serious profits. Right after the doji, price stalled for a bit before heading straight down. Take a look at all those red candles!

It seems that buyers were indeed pretty tired, which allowed sellers to jump back in and take control. Eventually, price went all the way back down to the Swing Low. That was a move of about 500 pips! That could’ve been your trade of the year!

Looking for “Fib Sticks” can be really useful, as they can signal whether a Fibonacci retracement level will hold.

If it seems that price is stalling on a Fib level, chances are that other traders may have put some orders at those levels. This would act as more confirmation that there is indeed some resistance or support at that price.

Another nice thing about Fib Sticks is that you don’t need to place limit orders at the Fib levels. You may have some concerns whether the support or resistance will hold since we are looking at a “zone” and not necessarily specific levels.

This is where you can use your knowledge of candlestick formations.

You could wait for a Fib Stick to form right below or above a Fibonacci retracement level to give you more confirmation on whether you should put in an order.

If a Fib stick does form, you can just enter a trade at market price since you now have more confirmation that level could be holding.

结合斐波那契和蜡烛图



        如果你一直有专心听讲,你现在知道,可以把斐波纳契指标和 支撑/阻力位或趋势线,结合一起来创建一个简单,但超级棒的交易策略。

       但我们还没有完全结束!在这一课,我们将教你如何把你在 第二课 时学到的日本蜡烛图知识,与斐波纳契指标结合使用。

       结合斐波纳契工具和蜡烛图的过程,我们实际上是在寻找蜡烛图的反转讯号。如果你可以看出买家或卖家的力量变化,它就可以给你一条价格反转时的线索。

      在BabyPips这,我们喜欢叫它们“斐波纳契蜡烛图”或“肥婆的棒子”。相当的吸引人,是吧?为了使其更加清晰,让我们看一个例子。

      以下是欧元/美元1小时图。



       货币对似乎在过去一周一直呈下降趋势,但这个趋势看起来好像暂缓了一会儿。现在是不是一个在下降趋势中下单的机会?你知道这意味着什么。又是时候使用斐波纳契指标了!

       正如你从图中可以看到,我们已经将波段的高点定在3月5日的1.3364,以及低点在3月7日的1.2523。

       由于是星期五,所以你打算放松一下,早一天放假。然后决定周末过后看到图表后,才决定是否下单。

 

       哇!周末过后你打开了图表,惊讶的发现欧元/美元在上周五收盘后,突然飞升了不少。

       虽然50.0%的斐波那契阻挡了一段时间,但最终买家还是突破了。你决定等待,看看在61.8%的斐波那契位置是否能成功的阻挡下。毕竟,最后一支蜡烛的力道有些强劲!谁晓得呢,或许价格又会飞升上去!

 

       瞧,你看到了呢?长脚的十字星已经在61.8%斐波那契位置形成。如果你在第 2 课 时有留意,你就会知道,这是一个“反转讯号的蜡烛。”买家的力道转弱?是不是被斐波那契的位置,成功的阻挡下了?这是很可能的。因为其他交易者很可能也紧紧盯上了斐波那契的这个位置。 

       这是个下单的机会吗?你永远无法确定的知道(这就是为什么资金管理是非常重要的),但是逆转的可能性,看起来是非常的高!
  
       如果你在形成了十字星之后,已经立即下了单,那么你一定赚得蛮肥的了。十字星形成之后,价格停顿了一会儿,然后直线下跌。看看那些红红红色的蜡烛吧!

       看来,买家确实有些疲惫无力了,这使得卖家重新得到了市场的控制权利。最终,价格一路回落到波段的低点。这是一个将近500点的移动!这些点数可能就足够你吃上一年了!

       看来“肥婆的棒子”确实真的很有用,它们可以在斐波那契位置开始发挥效果时,给你打打暗号。

       如果价格在斐波那契的位置,看起来有些停滞不前,很有可能是其他交易者把订单下在这些位置上。这举动可以更加的证实,价格在这位置确实遇到一些阻力或者支撑。

       另一个肥婆棒子能给你的好处是,你不需要在斐波那契的位置上挂单后,忧心忡忡的担心位置被突破。现在我们可以盯着“一小段的区域”,而不是一条线的位置。

       这是你可以表现您的蜡烛图知识的地方。

       你需要等待一支肥婆棒子,在其中一个斐波那契的位置上下,收盘确认讯号后,才可以下单。

       如果肥婆的棒子没有给出明确的讯号,但你却对那位置充满信心,哪么就像平时一样下单吧。