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Fibonacci 斐波纳契: Page 5 of 9

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How to Use Fibonacci Retracement with Trend Lines

Another good tool to combine with the Fibonacci retracement tool is trend line analysis. After all, Fibonacci retracement levels work best when the market is trending, so this makes a lot of sense!

Remember that whenever a pair is in a downtrend or uptrend, traders use Fibonacci retracement levels as a way to get in on the trend. So why not look for levels where Fib levels line up right smack with the trend?

Here’s a 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY. As you can see, price has been respecting a short term rising trend line over the past couple of days.

Rising trend line on 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY

You think to yourself, “Hmm, that’s a sweet uptrend right there. I wanna buy AUD/JPY, even if it’s just for a short term trade. I think I’ll buy once the pair hits the trend line again.”

Before you do that though, why don’t you reach for your forex toolbox and get that Fibonacci retracement tool out? Let’s see if we can get a more exact entry price.

Fibonacci retracement levels intersecting with rising trend line. Potential support?

Here we plotted the Fibonacci retracement levels by using the Swing low at 82.61 and the Swing High at 83.84.

Notice how the 50.0% and 61.8% Fib levels are intersected by the rising trend line.

Could these levels serve as potential support levels? There’s only one way to find out!

Trend line and support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level hold

Guess what? The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level held, as price bounced there before heading back up. If you had set some orders at that level, you would have had a perfect entry!

A couple of hours after touching the trend line, price zoomed up like Astro Boy on Red Bull, bursting through the Swing High.

Aren’t you glad you’ve got this in your forex toolbox now?

As you can see, it does pay to make use of the Fibonacci retracement tool, even if you’re planning to enter on a retest of the trend line. The combination of both a diagonal and a horizontal support or resistance level could mean that other traders are eying those levels as well.

Take note though, as with other drawing tools, drawing trend lines can also get pretty subjective.

You don’t know exactly how other traders are drawing them, but you can count on one thing – that there’s a trend!

If you see that a trend is developing, you should be looking for ways to go long to give you a better chance of a profitable trade. You can use the Fibonacci retracement tool to help you find potential entry points.

结合斐波那契和趋势线


       趋势线是另外一个可以和斐波那契指标结合得
很好的工具。毕竟,斐波纳契比率只有在市场有趋向时才会起作用,所以这是很有道理的!

       记的,无论一组货币对是在下跌趋势还是上升趋势,交易者都会在趋势上画上斐波那契比率位置。那么,为什么不找找看
斐波那契比率的哪一个位置,在趋势上深深的扎根了?

       下面是澳元/日元 的1小时图。正如你所看到的,价格在过去几天里,一直保持在短期的上升趋势线上。

 

       你的心里盘算着:“嗯,这是一个很好的上升趋势,炒个短线应该不错。等下一回价格碰到趋势线,我就买一些澳元/日元。”

       在你做下单的动作之前,为什么不看看你的外汇工具盒,然后拿出斐波纳契指标呢?如果我们可以得到一个更精确的下单价格,何乐不为呢?

 

       在这里,我们利用
斐波纳契指标,在波段低点的82.61和高点的83.84,画出比率。

       请注意,
斐波那契50.0%和61.8%的位置,是如何跟上升的趋势线交叉在一起的。

       这些
位置是否可以作为潜在的支持位?这里只有一种办法可以找出答案! 

  

       你猜怎么了?在斐波那契
61.8%的位置,价格弹了起来,然后恢复趋势。如果你在那位置下了一些订单,你就有了一个完美的下单!

       
价格在接触到趋势线一段时间后,就像超人被红牛戳到屁股,迅速的攀升,然后突破了波段的高点。

       你现在
是不是很高兴,并将他们放进了你的外汇工具箱里?

       正如你所看到的,即使你已经打算了在趋势线反弹时就下单,斐波那契指标还是有它使用价值的。结合了斜线和水平线的阻力或支撑位置,意味着可能有更多的交易者也把目光投向了那些位置。

       不过,就像其他的指标工具一样,画趋势线也是有些主观的。你不知道其他交易者是怎样画的,但你可以坚信一点 - 就是那有一个趋势!

       如果你看到一个趋势在发展,你应该想办法给自己一个更好的获利机会。您可以使用斐波纳契指标来帮助您找到潜在的下单点。