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Fibonacci 斐波纳契: Page 4 of 9

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How to Use Fibonacci Retracement with Support and Resistance

Like we said in the previous section, using Fibonacci levels can be very subjective. However, there are ways that you can help tilt the odds in your favor.

While the Fibonacci retracement tool is extremely useful, it shouldn’t be used all by its lonesome self.

It’s kinda like comparing it to NBA superstar Kobe Bryant. Kobe is one of the greatest basketball players of all time, but even he couldn’t win those titles by himself. He needed some backup.

Similarly, the Fibonacci retracement tool should be used in combination with other tools. In this section, let’s take what you’ve learned so far and try to combine them to help us spot some sweet trade setups.

Are y’all ready? Let’s get this pip show on the road!

Fibonacci Retracement + Support and Resistance

One of the best ways to use the Fibonacci retracement tool is to spot potential support and resistance levels and see if they line up with Fibonacci retracement levels.

If Fibonacci levels are already support and resistance levels, and you combine them with other price areas that a lot of other traders are watching, then the chances of price bouncing from those areas are much higher.

Let’s look at an example of how you can combine support and resistance levels with Fibonacci levels. Below is a daily chart of USD/CHF.

Daily chart of USD/CHF with Fibonacci retracement levels

As you can see, it’s been on an uptrend recently. Look at all those green candles! You decide that you want to get in on this long USD/CHF bandwagon.

But the question is, “When do you enter?” You bust out the Fibonacci retracment tool, using the low at 1.0132 on January 11 for the Swing Low and the high at 1.0899 on February 19 for the Swing High.

Now your chart looks pretty sweet with all those Fibonacci retracement levels.

Resistance turned support at 50.0% Fib?

Now that we have a framework to increase our probability of finding solid entry, we can answer the question “Where should you enter?”

You look back a little bit and you see that the 1.0510 price was good resistance level in the past and it just happens to line up with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Now that it’s broken, it could turn into support and be a good place to buy.

Resistance turned support at 50.0% Fib holds and price eventually makes a new high

If you did set an order somewhere around the 50.0% Fib level, you’d be a pretty happy camper!

There would have been some pretty tense moments, especially on the second test of the support level on April 1. Price tried to pierce through the support level, but failed to close below it. Eventually, the pair broke past the Swing High and resumed its uptrend.

You can do the same setup on a downtrend as well. The point is you should look for price levels that seem to have been areas of interest in the past. If you think about it, there’s a higher chance that price will bounce from these levels.

Why?

First, as we discussed in Grade 1, previous support or resistance levels would be good areas to buy or sell because other traders will also be eyeing these levels like a hawk.

Second, since we know that a lot of traders also use the Fibonacci retracement tool, they may be looking to jump in on these Fib levels themselves.

With traders looking at the same support and resistance levels, there’s a good chance that there are a ton of orders at those price levels.

While there’s no guarantee that price will bounce from those levels, at least you can be more confident about your trade. After all, there is strength in numbers!

Remember that trading is all about probabilities. If you stick to those higher probability trades, then there’s a better chance of coming out ahead in the long run.

结合斐波那契和支撑阻力位




       就像我们上一课所说,使用斐波纳契比率位置是很
主观的。不过,这里还有一些方法可以帮助你,提高对你有利的胜算。

       虽然斐波纳契指标是非常有用的,但每次使用它时,不应该被单独的使用。

       这有点像把它比作NBA巨星 Kobe Bryant。Kobe Bryant 是有史以来最伟大的篮球运动员之一,但如果只是他一人,是不能赢得所有称号的,他需要一些队友。

       同样的,
使用斐波纳契指标时,应该与其他的指标组合。在这一课,让我们看看你到目前为止学到的东西,并尝试将它们结合起来,好帮助我们发现一些不错的交易甜头。

       你都准备好了吗?让我们在旅途上看看这些价格的表演!

       最好的方法之一是使用斐波纳契指标,来发现潜在的支撑和阻力位置,看看他们是否和斐波纳契比率在同个位置上。

       如果肥婆已经是在价格的支撑和阻力的位置了,这时你如果将其他类型交易者都在注意的价格位置相结合,哪价格从这些位置反弹的机会就会高得多了。

       让我们看一个
例子,怎样将支撑和阻力位与斐波那契比率位结合的,以下是美元/瑞郎日线图。

 

       正如你看到的,最近的价格已经呈现上升的趋势。看看这些绿绿色的蜡烛!你决定,一定要加入这美元/瑞郎的多头队伍了。

       但问题是,“你打算什么时候加入呢?” 你亮出斐波那契指标,在波段:1月11日
的低点1.0132位置和在2月19日的高点1.0899位置,画出比率。

      现在您的图表加上那些斐波那契的比率,看起来真不错。


      现在,我们用一个架构来增加我们的胜率,好找到一个漂亮的下单位置。我们可以回答这个问题:“你应该从哪里进来?”

      你往回看一点点点,你会注意到
价格1.0510的位置。之前,它曾是个很强劲的阻力位,后来被突破后成为了次级的支撑位。但它现在,刚好和50.0%的肥婆站在一起,是个买单的好位置。

 

      如果您确实在50.0%斐波那契比率的位置附近下了单,你将会成为一个非常开心快乐的人!

      本来有一些非常紧张的时刻,特别是4月1日对支撑位置的第二次测试程度。价格试图强力的刺穿支持位,但是收盘时还是失败了。最后,那货币对打破了过去的波段高点,恢复上升的趋势。

       您也可以把相同的步骤用在一个下跌的趋势中,关键是你应该寻找出那些在之前关心的价格位置。如果你在乎它们的话,价格会在这些位置有更高机率的反弹机会。

       为什么呢?

       首先,正如我们在 第 一 课 说过的,以前的支持和阻力水平将是个很好的买入或卖出的位置,因为其他交易者也将像老鹰一样紧盯着这些位置。

       其次,因为我们知道有许多交易者也使用斐波纳契指标,在这些斐波那契比率的位置,
他们会自己自动的跳进去。

       因为很多的交易者看到了同样的支持和阻力位,所以在这些位置会有一座山的订单,绝对是下单的好机会。

      虽然这样,依然不能保证价格会从这些位置反弹,但至少你可以对你的交易更有信心。毕竟,在概率上这是个高胜算的技术!

      请记住,所有的交易技术都是建立在概率上的。如果你坚持那些概率较高的交易,一段时间之后就有机会成为市场赢家。