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Elliott Wave Theory艾略特波浪理论: Page 6 of 7

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How to Trade Forex Using Elliott Waves

Learn how to use Elliott Waves in your forex trading.

This is probably what you all have been waiting for – drumroll please – using the Elliott Wave Theory in forex trading! In this section, we will look at some setups and apply our knowledge of Elliott Wave to determine entry, stop loss, and exit points. Let’s get it on!

Hypothetical, will-most-probably-be-right scenario:

Let’s say you wanted to begin your wave count. You see that price seems to have bottomed out and has began a new move upwards. Using your knowledge of Elliott Wave, you label this move up as Wave 1 and the retracement as Wave 2.

Elliott Wave Counts

In order to find a good entry point, you head back to the School of Pipsology to find out which of the three cardinal rules and guidelines you could apply. Here’s what you found out:

  • Rule Number 2: Wave 2 can NEVER go beyond the start of Wave 1
  • Waves 2 and 4 frequently bounce off Fibonacci retracement levels

So, using your superior Elliott Waving trading skillz, you decide to pop the Fibonacci tool to see if price is at a Fib level. Holy mama! Price is just chillin’ like ice cream fillin’ around the 50% level. Hmm, this could be the start of Wave 3, which is a very strong buy signal.

Elliott Wave Potential Entry

Since you’re a smart forex trader, you also take your stop into consideration.

Cardinal rule number 2 states that Wave 2 can never go beyond the start of Wave 1 so you set your stop below the former lows.

If price retraces more than 100% of Wave 1, then your wave count is wrong.

Let’s see what happens next…

Elliott Wave 3

Your Elliott Wave analysis paid off and you caught a huge upward move! You go to Vegas (or Macau), blow all your forex profits on roulette, and end right back where you started. Lucky for you we have another hypothetical scenario where you can earn imaginary money again…

Scenario 2:

This time, let’s use your knowledge on corrective waves patterns to grab those pips.

Elliott Wave Flat Formation

You begin counting the waves on a downtrend and you notice that the ABC corrective waves are moving sideways. Hmm, is this a flat formation in the works? This means that price may just begin a new impulse wave once Wave C ends.

Elliott Wave Flat Entry

Trusting your Elliott Wave skills, you go ahead and sell at market in hopes of catching a new impulse wave.

You place your stop just a couple of pips above the start of Wave 4 just in case your wave count is wrong.

Elliott Wave Flat Exit

Because we like happy endings, your trade idea works out and nets you a couple thousand pips on this day, which is not always the case.

You have also learned your lesson this time around so you skip Vegas and decide to use your profits to grow your forex trading capital instead.

Learn from your fellow forex traders and discuss Elliott Waves.

如何利用艾略特波浪理论进行交易

       这很可能是你一直在等的时刻——利用艾略特波浪理论进行交易。

       在本课中,我们将借用我们已经掌握的艾略特波浪理论相关知识确定入场点、止损点以及退出点。现在,就让我们开始吧!

情景一:

       首先,我们需要进行的就是数浪工作。如下图所示,你看到汇价似乎已经筑底,且已经开启一轮新的上升趋势。利用你所掌握的艾略特波浪理论相关知识,你将这一轮升势标为第1浪,并将随后发生的回撤过程标注为第2浪。

       为了找到良好的入场位,你再次回顾我们之前讲过的一些要点,以确定自己能够将3条重要原则和指导要点中的哪几点运用进来。在本例中,你会发现:

          ● 规则二:第2浪永远不可能超过第1浪开启的起点

          ● 第2浪回撤的幅度最倾向于第1浪的50%或者61.8%

       因此,结合斐波那契波浪理论的3条重要原则和指导要点,你决定拿出斐波那契工具,以判断汇价是否处于斐波那契水平位。

       你发现,汇价刚好处于50%的斐波那契回撤位水平,嗯,这很可能就是第3浪的开启阶段,因为它已经发出了非常强的买入信号。

       作为精明交易者的你,止损点的设置也当然在你的考虑之内。

       规则二提到,第2浪永远不可能超过第1浪开启的起点,因此,你选择将止损位设在第1浪开启的起点下方水平。

       如果汇价回撤幅度超过第1浪的100%,那么,你所数的浪将是错误的。

       让我们看看,接下来发生了什么。。。

       你的艾略特波浪理论分析为你带来了丰厚的回报!因为你抓住了一轮相当巨大的上升过程。随后,你来到澳门或拉斯维加斯,在轮盘赌中将之前的获利输个精光,并在此回到开始时的状态。幸运的是,在这里,你还有再一次赚钱的机会...

情景二:

       这次,让我们看看在下降浪中如何利用波浪形态获利。

       你注意到,ABC回调浪正处于横盘整理态势。你会想,这可能是平台形态吗?如果果真如此,则意味着,一旦C浪走势结束,则将开启新一轮的推动浪走势。

       怀着对艾略特波浪理论无比崇敬的心情,你选择市价做空欧元/美元,因为你期待能够抓住新一轮推动浪的获利机会。

       你将止损位设在第四浪开启点位的上方,以防止你对浪的判断出现失误。

       这次,你的判断再次正确。在我们的交易中,把握好的开始只成功了一半,选择完美的出场时机则能够宣告我们交易的成功。这次,你的获利高达将近2000点,当然,这种机会并不会始终出现。

       你已经吸取了之前的教训,放弃了去澳门或拉斯维加斯一试身手的想法,转而将你的获利用来充实你的交易账户。