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Currency Crosses 交叉货币对: Page 3 of 11

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Currency Crosses Are Trend-y

Since a majority of the forex market will deal with the U.S. dollar, you can imagine that many of the news reports will cause U.S. dollar-based currency pairs to spike. The US has the largest economy in the world, and as a result, speculators react strongly to U.S. news reports, even if it doesn’t cause a huge fundamental shift in the long run.

What this means for your charts is that you will see several “spikes” even if there is a trend emerging. This can make it harder to spot trend or range indications.

Major Currency Pairs Not As Smooth As Currency Crosses

The day to day economic activities of the U.S. can keep U.S. dollar based currencies such as EUR/USD (above) from making smooth trends.

Currency Cross Pair EUR/JPY

Conversely, we can see that during the same date range, cross currency EUR/JPY made a much, much smoother ride to the top. This was probably due to less spikes that came from U.S. data. So as you can see, both charts showed the euro rise during the same time period, but the one without the U.S. dollar (EUR/JPY) made for a much easier trade.

Our resident currency cross monster Cyclopip caught a hundred pips by riding EUR/JPY’s trend. Check out how caught that move!

If you are a trend following kinda dude, then currency crosses may be easier to trade than the major pairs. It will be easier for you to spot the trend and be more confident in your entry points because you know that these technical levels hold more than they do for the majors.

In the next section, we’ll discuss how playing with currency crosses can also allow you to take advantage of the interest rate differentials. Now that’s like a cherry on top of a sundae!

交叉货币对的优势

       由于外汇市场绝大多数货币对都涉及到美元,所以绝大多数报告或数据的公布都有可能导致美元相关货币对的剧烈变动。美国具有全球最大的经济体,因此,投机者会对美国所公布的报告作出强烈反应,尽管从长期来看,报告数据并不会显示美国基本面状况的改变。

       这意味着,即使涉及到美元的货币对表现出趋势的初步走势,但是在趋势进程中,仍有可能出现一些剧烈波动的情况。这使得交易者难以识别,汇价到底是会走出趋势行情,还是维持区间波动。

       美国方面频繁公布的经济数据使得和美元相关的货币对,诸如上图中的欧元/美元难以出现平稳的趋势走势。

       与之相对的是,我们看到在相同的时间框架下,欧元/日元的上升趋势更为平稳。这很可能是因为汇价避免了因美国方面数据所引发的剧烈波动行情。

       所以,你可以看到,上述两个图形都显示欧元在同期出现上升行情,但是不涉及到美元的货币对(欧元/日元)的上升趋势更加的明显。

       如果你是一名趋势跟随者,那么,交叉货币对较美元直盘要更容易把握。交叉货币对的趋势行情更容易识别,交易者设置入场点位也会更加自信,因为你知道,交叉货币对的这些技术点位较直盘更为稳定。

       在下课中,我们将讨论,利用利差交易交叉货币对。